Sep 29, 2024 -
October is the season of festive in India as we bid goodbye to the monsoon season. Sky gets clear & temperature rises slightly making the weather comfortable. However this month marks the starts one of the most catastrophic hazards in the planet earth - Cyclone & in that case for our basin in most cases all eyes go to Bay of Bengal as its the sub basin that caused remarkable deaths & damages in the past. Last year Category 3 Cyclone Hamoon & Category 4 Cyclone Tej also formed in the months of October. Like every other years this years the basin has chance to develop decent cyclones. As per the support of various numerical models & other conditions like prevailing La Nina & Neutral IOD conditions, presence of MJO, Kelvin & Equatorial Rossby Waves we expect formation of a disturbance over Southeast Bay of Bengal & adjoining Andaman Sea around the middle of October with subsequent northwest movement. As per the models & Climatological supports the threat remains higher for Andhra Pradesh in case of Bay of Bengal & for Arabian Sea its for Yemen, however its too early to say about its movement when the chance is still low of its development over Southeast Bay of Bengal after October 10th. There's also good support in formation of back to back disturbance during the cyclone season indicating an active Northeast monsoon season like 2022. However all this needs to be watch closely in the next severel days & we'll update you accordingly.
Stay tuned with us for regular updates about weather & related news faster than all.
0 Comments:
Post a Comment