May 26, 2024 -
Current conditions -
The Severe Cyclone "REMAL" has further intensified into a Severe Cyclone this morning over East Central Bay of Bengal & adjoining Head Bay. The Cyclone is located 20.4° North & 88.9° East at 11:30 AM IST today. The storm is around 275 km South-southeast of Kolkata & 150 Km South of New Moore Island. The Cyclone has moved nearly northwards with 10 km/h & expected to continue this track making landfall near Sundarban core region today late evening.
The storm has consolidated significantly from yesterday night. The peripheral spiral band has tightly wrapped around the broad low level circulation forming a banding eye feature. The Cyclone is under a highly favourable conditions with very high sea surface temperature of more than 32° Celsius, Low Wind shear of about 5-10 Kt & more than 100 Kj/Cm² tropical cyclone heat potential & other favorable atmospheric & oceanic parameters such as Kelvin & Rossby Wave & MJO.
Forecast & things likely to occurr -
The Cyclone will make landfall near or possibly as a hurricane very close to West Bengal - Bangladesh Border. Kolkata, South 24 Pargana are experiencing gale force winds of 65-75 kph from morning & its expected to increase as the day passes by & will become 80-90 Kph at afternoon, while during landfall hours winds expected to remain in order of 100 kph or more than that in Both 24 Parganas, & Twin city Howrah & Kolkata widespreadly with coastal areas touching winds near 120 kph gusting to 145 kph. After making landfall the Cyclone will traverse over the biggest wet land of India - East Calcutta wetland & adjoining Sundarban area which will help the system to a steady weakening process or the cyclone could hold its intensity for a longer period. Extensive damage is very likely over Sundarban delta while adverse weather conditions expected in the entire Gangetic West Bengal, especially the Bangladesh side & coastal area due to gale force winds, heavy to extremely heavy rain & storm surge. The condition will be felt till Monday evening at least as the Cyclone expected to be a very slow moving cyclone as it'll get sandwich between two upper level ridge, one west of it - to Northwest India & Another southeast of it, possibly over Myanmar.
The Cyclone will then turn Northeast following the typical tracks of pre monsoon cyclone & will reach near Meghalaya across Bangladesh as a weakened tropical cyclone. However due to the elevated topography of that part the area will face stronger winds, possibly even gale force too with torrential rainfall, especially the southern parts of Meghalaya while Mizoram, Tripura will also face similar situation due to its moisture pull from the monsoon over Bay of Bengal.

Things to do & don't -
We request everyone to get charge your electronic device enough, don't go outside during strong winds & heavy rains, have enough drink, medicine, clothing & food backup, don't open the window or door during strong winds as any sharp material could come out through that.
Stay safe & Stay connected with us always
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