Jun 19, 2024 -
Monsoon winds likely to set its wings over the entire west coast starting in the next 2-3 days lasting till the 1st half of July. Above average rainfall expected in this spell over many parts of the Western coast & adjoining area. The probable reason could be due to the arrival of MJO over the North Indian Ocean amplifying the monsoon surge causing off shore trough formation which will results up causing heavy rainfall. The spell would start from the southern parts like Karnataka & Kerala & then it would move northward up to Gujarat by the end of the month. Even parts of Southwest Rajasthan has a fair chance of receiving isolated heavy rainfall but that's yet too see as its too far away still. Isolated heavy rainfall already occurred in Konkan & Goa yesterday with Murmagao in Goa receiving 72 mm of heavy rain while Palghar in Maharashtra record 94 mm of rain. Except that Harnai & Dahanu also recorded 85 & 68 mm of heavy showers. Khambhalia in Gujarat recorded 233 mm of extremely heavy showers just 3 days ago & a similar situation is expected by the end of the month. Widespread rainstorm activities will cover up entire west coast with isolated very heavy rainfall at Malabar coast from the weekend. Isolated extremely heavy rainfall also possible over Kerala & South Interior Karnataka between Jun 23rd to 24th. From 25th the main interest of the activity will move northward towards northern Karnataka & adjoining Goa. By the end of the month the spell will reach Gujarat making onset of the Southwest Monsoon there while ending the prolonged heatwave spell over Northwest India. This spell would also cause isolated urban water logging & minor mudslide which could disrupt transport & communication, so we'll monitor the situation beforehand.
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