đŸŒĒ️ Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Montha’ to Drench Large Parts of India | Detailed Weather Bulletin by Meteora Weather Service


đŸŒĒ️ Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Montha’ to Drench Large Parts of India | Detailed Weather Bulletin by Meteora Weather Service

Issued by: Meteora Weather Service
Date: 28th October 2025 | Time: 14:30 IST

India braces for widespread rainfall and severe weather as multiple synoptic systems, including Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Montha’ over the Bay of Bengal and a Depression over the east-central Arabian Sea, continue to influence the country’s weather. These systems are set to bring heavy to extremely heavy rainfall, gusty winds, and thunderstorm activity across the southern, eastern, central, western, and northeastern regions of India over the coming days.

🌊 Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Montha’ – Current Status and Track

The Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘Montha’ [pronounced Mon-Tha] is currently positioned over the west-central Bay of Bengal, moving north-northwestwards at a speed of around 15 kmph during the past 6 hours.
As of 1430 hours IST on 28th October 2025, the storm center was located near latitude 15.6°N and longitude 82.5°E, approximately:

  • 70 km southeast of Machilipatnam (Andhra Pradesh),

  • 150 km south-southeast of Kakinada (Andhra Pradesh),

  • 250 km south-southwest of Visakhapatnam, and

  • 480 km south-southwest of Gopalpur (Odisha).

The system is expected to continue moving north-northwestwards and cross the Andhra Pradesh coast between Machilipatnam and Kakinada by the evening or night of 28th October as a severe cyclonic storm with maximum sustained winds of 90–100 kmph gusting up to 110 kmph.
Strong coastal winds, high sea waves, and storm surges are likely to affect low-lying coastal regions of Andhra Pradesh and adjoining Odisha during the landfall process.

🌊 Depression Over the Arabian Sea

A secondary system—a Depression over the east-central Arabian Sea—is moving northeastwards at about 7 kmph.
As of 1430 hours IST on 28th October, it was centered near latitude 17.3°N and longitude 68.2°E, about:

  • 480 km southwest of Veraval (Gujarat),

  • 530 km west-southwest of Mumbai (Maharashtra),

  • 630 km west-northwest of Panjim (Goa), and

  • 870 km northwest of Mangalore (Karnataka).

The system is likely to move northeastwards towards the coasts of Maharashtra and Gujarat over the next 36 hours, bringing moderate to heavy rain along with strong surface winds across the Konkan coast and parts of western India.

🌀 Other Active Weather Systems

  • Upper Air Cyclonic Circulation:
    A strong circulation is active over northeast Rajasthan and adjoining areas, extending up to 4.5 km above mean sea level.
    This system is enhancing moisture inflow and triggering widespread thunderstorms and rainfall activity across Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, and parts of Bihar.

  • Associated Trough:
    The trough from this cyclonic circulation extends from northeast Rajasthan across the northeast Arabian Sea and central Gujarat region, influencing rainfall over Gujarat, Maharashtra, and adjoining Madhya Pradesh.

  • Western Disturbance:
    A Western Disturbance as a trough in mid-tropospheric westerlies lies along Longitude 75°E to the north of Latitude 32°N, bringing isolated showers and cloud cover over western Himalayan states and northern plains.

🌧️ Region-Wise Detailed Forecast

1️⃣ South Peninsular India

  • Rainfall:
    Light to moderate rainfall/thunderstorms at most places with isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall over:

    • Kerala & Mahe, Coastal Karnataka, and North Interior Karnataka on 28th–29th October

    • Telangana on 30th October

    • Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Rayalaseema, and Tamil Nadu on 28th–29th October

  • Extremely Heavy Rainfall (≥21 cm):
    Likely at isolated places over Coastal Andhra Pradesh, Yanam, Telangana, and Rayalaseema on 28th October, particularly as the cyclone makes landfall.

  • Thunderstorms and Winds:
    Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds (30–50 kmph) are likely over Kerala, Coastal Karnataka, Lakshadweep, and Telangana during 28th October – 1st November.

2️⃣ East and Central India

  • Heavy Rainfall:
    Expected over West Madhya Pradesh (28th–30th Oct), East Madhya Pradesh (28th–31st Oct), Vidarbha, Chhattisgarh, and Jharkhand during the same period.
    Odisha, Gangetic West Bengal, Bihar, and Sub-Himalayan West Bengal & Sikkim will see intense activity between 30th October – 1st November.

  • Extremely Heavy Rainfall:
    Possible over South Chhattisgarh on 28th October.

  • Thunderstorm and Wind Activity:
    Thunderstorms with lightning and gusty winds (30–40 kmph) are expected across Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, and Odisha.
    A thundersquall with wind speeds reaching 60–70 kmph may occur over Chhattisgarh on 28th October, and gusts up to 50–60 kmph over Bihar on 29th October.

3️⃣ West India

  • Heavy Rainfall:
    Light to moderate rain or thunderstorm activity with isolated heavy rainfall likely over Konkan & Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, and Gujarat region between 28th–31st October.

  • Very Heavy Rainfall:
    Forecast for Saurashtra and Kutch during the same period due to the influence of the Arabian Sea depression.

  • Wind and Thunderstorm Activity:
    Widespread thunderstorm activity with wind speeds reaching 30–40 kmph expected across western coastal districts.

4️⃣ Northeast India

  • Heavy Rainfall Period:
    Light to moderate rain/thunderstorms at many places with isolated heavy rainfall likely over:

    • Arunachal Pradesh (30th Oct–2nd Nov)

    • Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram & Tripura (31st Oct–2nd Nov)

    • Assam & Meghalaya (30th Oct–3rd Nov)

  • Very Heavy Rainfall:
    Likely at isolated places over Assam, Meghalaya, and Arunachal Pradesh on 31st October & 1st November.

  • Wind Activity:
    Thunderstorms with gusty winds (30–40 kmph) expected across the entire northeastern belt from 30th October – 1st November.

5️⃣ Western Himalayan Region

Under the influence of the Western Disturbance, parts of Jammu & Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand may witness light rain or snow at higher altitudes, along with cloudy skies and cool winds, especially during night hours.

đŸŒĻ️ Weather Outlook for Next 3 Days

  • Southern Peninsula: Scattered to fairly widespread rainfall likely, particularly over Andhra Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Telangana, and Kerala.

  • East & Northeast India: Isolated to scattered rainfall with thunderstorms likely, gradually increasing in intensity by early November.

  • Western India: Rainfall activity to continue along coastal Maharashtra, Goa, and Gujarat due to Arabian Sea depression.

  • Northern India: Mostly dry with occasional showers over the western Himalayan region.

⚠️ Public Safety & Advisory

  • Fishermen Alert: Avoid venturing into the Bay of Bengal and Arabian Sea for the next 48–72 hours due to rough sea conditions.

  • Coastal Safety: Low-lying areas of Andhra Pradesh, Odisha, and Gujarat may face tidal surges and localized flooding; residents should remain alert.

  • Wind Hazards: Secure loose outdoor structures and avoid sheltering under trees during thunderstorms.

  • Travel Advisory: Expect disruptions in rail, road, and air travel in regions under heavy rainfall alerts.

🌍 Conclusion

The convergence of multiple active systems — Cyclone Montha in the Bay of Bengal, Depression over the Arabian Sea, Cyclonic Circulations, and a Western Disturbance — makes this one of the most complex weather interactions of the post-monsoon season.
Over the next few days, rainfall will cover nearly all quadrants of India, gradually shifting from the south and east towards the northeast and western regions.

🌧️ Stay Connected

Stay tuned for real-time alerts, radar imagery, and rainfall tracking on Meteora Weather Service.
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🔖 #MeteoraWeather #CycloneMontha #RainAlert #WeatherIndia #HeavyRainfall #CycloneUpdate #AndhraWeather #OdishaWeather #NortheastRain #ArabianSeaLow #IndiaWeatherForecast

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